Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
114 Montana 0.0%   19 - 10 12 - 4 19 - 10 12 - 4 +3.3      +1.5 116 +1.7 110 61.5 310 +3.3 120 +3.1 2
125 Northern Colorado 100.0%   15   19 - 10 13 - 3 19 - 10 13 - 3 +2.7      +1.4 124 +1.3 125 71.0 94 +3.0 125 +5.5 1
135 Northern Arizona 0.0%   17 - 12 9 - 7 17 - 12 9 - 7 +2.1      +1.1 133 +1.0 135 67.7 176 +0.4 159 -2.1 4
166 Weber St. 0.0%   15 - 13 11 - 5 15 - 13 11 - 5 -0.1      0.0 164 -0.1 167 64.6 255 +0.3 163 +1.8 3
247 Montana St. 0.0%   11 - 18 7 - 9 11 - 18 7 - 9 -5.0      -2.5 247 -2.5 247 66.1 228 -4.6 241 -4.4 6
255 Eastern Washington 0.0%   8 - 20 7 - 9 8 - 20 7 - 9 -5.7      -2.9 255 -2.9 258 65.8 233 -7.3 276 -4.3 5
260 Portland St. 0.0%   13 - 16 5 - 11 13 - 16 5 - 11 -5.9      -2.8 253 -3.1 266 71.6 80 -4.5 236 -7.8 7
291 Idaho St. 0.0%   7 - 20 4 - 12 7 - 20 4 - 12 -8.0      -4.0 286 -4.1 292 64.9 250 -8.2 290 -9.4 9
316 Sacramento St. 0.0%   5 - 21 4 - 12 5 - 21 4 - 12 -10.5      -5.3 316 -5.2 316 63.7 271 -11.3 319 -9.0 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Montana 2.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 1.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 4.0 100.0
Weber St. 3.0 100.0
Montana St. 5.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 5.0 100.0
Portland St. 7.0 100.0
Idaho St. 8.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Montana 12 - 4 100.0
Northern Colorado 13 - 3 100.0
Northern Arizona 9 - 7 100.0
Weber St. 11 - 5 100.0
Montana St. 7 - 9 100.0
Eastern Washington 7 - 9 100.0
Portland St. 5 - 11 100.0
Idaho St. 4 - 12 100.0
Sacramento St. 4 - 12 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Montana
Northern Colorado 100.0% 100.0
Northern Arizona
Weber St.
Montana St.
Eastern Washington
Portland St.
Idaho St.
Sacramento St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.1 4.8 90.7 4.4
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 7.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 7.3% 0.1 92.7 7.3
Sweet Sixteen 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0